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Two professors from Washington University and one from NYU have pre-published in the SSRN repository one of the first studies on the impact of ChatGPT, which joins another from last month by several Harvard professors on the productivity of Boston Consulting Group consultants using ChatGPTThe study’s conclusions are hardly surprising, but which someone had to provide concrete data for, and that’s what we academics are for: the introduction of the ChatGPT generative algorithm a year ago has had significant negative effects on creative professions such as graphic designers and copywritersUsing data from copywriters and graphic designers on the freelancing platform Upwork, the researchers found that these professionals not only experienced a significant drop in the number of jobs they could bid for, but even steeper drops in earnings, suggesting not only that generative AI is taking away their jobs, but that it tends to devalue the dwindling volume of work they still doThe case of copywriters and graphic designers is particularly interesting because it illustrates the phenomenon of direct substitution: the work that someone used to request from one of these professionals, even considering the possible iterations until a satisfactory result was obtained, can now be carried out directly by the generative algorithm The results are significant and amount to around 2% in the number of jobs obtained monthly, and 5Moreover, workers who previously typically earned the highest incomes and who completed a greater number of jobs do not result in a lower likelihood of seeing their employment and income decline, but even worse outcomes, implying that having more skills is no protection against job or income loss These results suggest that, in the short term, generative AI reduces the overall demand for knowledge workers of all types, and may also have the potential to reduce gaps between workersAs time goes on, we will undoubtedly see more academic work trying to quantify the effect of the emergence of generative algorithms Their widespread adoption following the launch of ChatGPT over the last 12 monthsprovides a discontinuity in time that makes it easy to quantify the effects on individual practitioners Moving from the realm of untested hypotheses to concrete and specific quantification and proving that there are indeed significant effects on society is a first step towards making predictions about different industries and labor markets, and may well affect the regulation of the use of such tools in the futureAround this time last year, I wrote “The Metaverse Needs An Operating System”, a deep dive into why the idea of new software foundations to handle a shift in the way we interact through spatial computing was needed It explored concepts new and old but ultimately the conclusion was that where we are heading in many respects requires a rethink in OS design from the ground upWe simply cannot move forward where thinking is still stuck in kernel design and operating system architecture from the mid-1980s and 90s Now with the rise of AI and Large Language Models, data sovereignty and user control, identity and the age-old arguments of ‘proprietary vs open source’ that question of needing to rethink the OS of yesterday for tomorrow rears its head againWhat I wanted to do was take the exploration done last year but shift the thinking to another industry, one which has received a lot of attention and is touted to be the future of humanity — the space industry There probably isn’t a sector where the software and hardware demands are as stringent or as secure because of the environment they operate in (save for defence and aerospace which of course are still part of the same overall sector anyway)Fucking large caveats: what’s to follow is purely conceptual based on desk research in fields that I am not an expert in but with a fundamental belief (whether right or wrong) that things need to change I stick to the core tenets of decentralisation, open source and modularity on purpose I will attempt to avoid altogether the questions around new CPU and silicon architectures needed to really take advantage of the changes because let's face it, we’re kind of stuck with the same thinking because of OS designThe space industry, for all its innovation in the last decade or so thanks to SpaceX, still sits on operational software principles that hark back to the 1960s and this isn’t a foundation to build the future of space exploration (“The [Starlink] constellation has more than 30,000 Linux nodes (and more than 6,000 microcontrollers) in space right now,” said Matt Monson in a Reddit AMA back in 2020 That’s a lot of code sitting in a fragmented architecture originally conceived in the 90sI’m a massive supporter and believer in decentralisation despite the ideology being usurped by moronic web3 VCs and cryptocoin startups Fundamentally, a distributed and decentralised architecture points the way to a new internet and way we write software, one which would take us beyond our Earthy confinesThe operating system landscape, particularly within the space sector, is characterised by a patchwork of proprietary and open-source systems, each with its own set of interfaces and protocols This lack of standardisation has led to inefficiencies, increased costs, and complexities in mission design Something new would directly address these challenges by providing a cohesive platform that ensures compatibility and seamless comms between diverse hardware and software components through a unique approach — a combination of decentralised and RTOS architecturesThe concept of a decentralised OS isn’t new, Bell Labs back in the 1980s created Plan 9 which showed the path forward for this and it's time to pick up where they left off and complete the workFor the uninitiated, Plan 9 from Bell Labs is a distributed operating system which originated from the Computing Science Research Center (CSRC) at Bell Labs in the mid-1980s and built on UNIX concepts first developed there in the late 1960sPlan 9 replaced Unix as Bell Labs’s primary platform for operating systems research It explored several changes to the original Unix model that facilitate the use and programming of the system, notably in distributed multi-user environmentsWhy care about this at all, why bother with this? Because the concepts behind Plan 9 (and to a certain extent, GridOS too mentioned in the original Metaverse OS article) point the way to a radical shift in how we really need to think about operating system design and kernel architecture, especially in the space industryDecentralised and Modular: something new should be designed to be decentralised, meaning it can operate across a distributed network, reducing single points of failure and potentially enhancing resilience and fault tolerance which is critical for space-based operationsCustomisability: thanks to a modular microkernel architecture, it should allow for greater flexibility Modules can be added or removed as needed for different applications or missions, making it highly adaptable to various requirementsReal-Time Capabilities: integrating real-time processing capabilities, crucial for time-sensitive applications such as those found in space exploration and satellite operations addresses some of the immediate concerns about decentralisation and node communicationCommunity-Driven and Open Source: it has to be built on an open-source model, encouraging community contributions and making the source code available for review, which can foster innovation and trustCompatibility and Transition: needs to be designed with compatibility in mind, so supports existing hardware platforms and can run legacy applications within secure modules, easing the transition from traditional operating systemsThe design of something this critical would intend to dismantle the incumbent jigsaw puzzle of Red Hat, various Linux flavours, embedded software and Vxworks by Wind River by creating a leap in OS architecture and opening up a new and uncontested market space By proving the design in one of the toughest markets you could then be poised to replicate and work backwards into similar industries that will be necessary for space exploration — including mining, manufacturing, IOT and other heavy industries that all sit upon the same old software principlesWhat Windows is as a general purpose and productivity operating system platform would make this a highly tuned operating software platform for the future of humanity in space as its oppositeIf you wanted to take this a stage further, especially where Space Domain Awareness (SDA) is a critical initiative with government agencies then any new operating system made for space exploration could be a critical component for both civilian and military entities that operate assets in space alsoEnhanced Data Integration: a modular nature allows for the seamless integration of various sensors and data sources This capability is crucial for SDA, where data from radar, telescopes, satellites, and other sensors must be synthesised to provide a comprehensive picture of the space environmentImproved Data Processing and Analysis: the decentralised aspect of a new OS can facilitate distributed data processing, reducing the time it takes to analyse vast amounts of space domain data Faster data processing leads to more timely responses to threats such as space debris, adversarial manoeuvres, or natural phenomenaResilience and Redundancy: for military operations, resilience is critical so a decentralised structure can offer greater resilience against cyber-attacks and system failures If one node fails, others can take over, ensuring continuous SDA operationsInteroperability: as military operations often involve coalitions, a decentralised OS can provide standardised communication protocols and interfaces, enabling interoperability between systems of different countries and services, which is essential for joint SDA effortsAdaptability and Scalability: the modular design of a decentralised OS allows for rapid adaptation to new sensors, technologies, or mission requirements As the space domain evolves, so too can this incorporate new modules to address emerging SDA needs without overhauling the entire systemSecurity: with a new kernel architecture, security protocols can be tightly integrated into each module, providing robust security measures that are vital for military operations The decentralised nature also means that an attack on one module is less likely to compromise the entire systemCost Efficiency: standardising on a modular OS can lead to cost savings by reducing the need for custom software development for each new SDA initiative This economic efficiency can free up resources for other critical defence needsNow, let’s discuss the future of operating systems like Windows and Linux in a world of artificial intelligence Aren’t monolithic OS redundant where we can use AI to build applications, browse the web, answer complex questions, conduct research and do a grocery shop with automated agents at our beck and call?.   btc recovery software

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